This project provided a summary of the potential trends in the Departmental Strategic Objectives 6.1 (primary fires) and 6.2 (deliberate fires), and the three PSA 3 fire measures for England to 2010-2011. The aim was to:

The review had four main steps:

1. Sub-dividing the indicators into sub-trends.
2. Identifying factors, such as unemployment and Community Fire Safety (CFS) work that were associated with these trends.
3. Projecting trends to March 2011.
4. Highlighting uncertainties in these trends and the factors that may influence the trends.


This was a brief review that relied on existing research and data.

You can view the report here.